TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 12:35 AM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks how many three-pointers specific players make in a basketball game between Oklahoma City and San Antonio. Each market focuses on a different player and a specific minimum number of three-pointers they must make for the outcome to be considered successful.
All markets resolve based on the official game result of the Oklahoma City vs San Antonio Pro Basketball game scheduled for Oct 20, 2026. For each market, if the specified player records the stated number of made three-pointers or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is inactive or does not take the court, the market settles at a fair price. If the player enters the game, resolution depends on their actual made three-pointers. Postponements within 48 hours of the original start time keep markets open and resolve based on the final result. Cancellations or failures to start within 48 hours result in all markets resolving at a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on models and public perception, while this market aggregates individual assessments. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when there’s considerable uncertainty. These differences can arise from varying information access, analytical approaches, or simply differing opinions about the probabilities involved in the Oklahoma City vs San Antonio game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of three-pointers scored by both the Oklahoma City and San Antonio teams will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events based on the results of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries to key three-point shooters on either the Oklahoma City or San Antonio teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in starting lineups or coaching strategies could also shift expectations. Additionally, any updates on team performance or shooting statistics leading up to the game could cause traders to reassess their positions. Public sentiment and expert analysis regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities may also play a role in shaping the market’s direction.