TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 12:37 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether specific players will achieve certain steal thresholds in an upcoming basketball game between Oklahoma City and San Antonio. The outcomes depend on the players' performance during the game, with considerations for potential changes in scheduling or player availability.
All markets resolve based on whether designated players record specified numbers of steals in the Oklahoma City vs San Antonio Pro Basketball game scheduled for Oct 20, 2026. If a player is inactive or does not take the court, markets settle to a fair price. Once a player enters the game, resolution depends on their actual steals recorded. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, whereas this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same event occurring, and both are subject to change as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate and new information emerges, these prices fluctuate. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth—the number of buy and sell orders at various price points—indicates how much conviction traders have in their predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly efficient and informative market for forecasting the number of steals in this NBA matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of steals recorded in the Oklahoma City versus San Antonio game will be used to determine the winning contract(s). The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the game’s completion and official data release.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Oklahoma City or San Antonio teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team strategy, such as a greater emphasis on defensive pressure, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any updates on player availability, even minor ones, or even public perception shifts based on analyst commentary could cause traders to adjust their positions, leading to fluctuations in the market price. Monitoring these signals is crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.