TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 12:35 AM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi predicts whether Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will score 25 or more points in the Oklahoma City versus San Antonio professional basketball game. Currently, the probability of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scoring 25+ points is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on official game statistics, specifically if Stephon Castle records 15+ points in the Oklahoma City vs San Antonio game originally scheduled for Oct 20, 2026, as determined by the resolution source. Keep a close watch on the game itself on October 20, 2026, to see if Stephon Castle reaches the 15-point threshold that will trigger market resolution.
All markets resolve based on the official points scored by specified players in the Oklahoma City vs San Antonio Pro Basketball game scheduled for Oct 20, 2026. If a player is inactive or does not take the court, the market settles at a fair price. Once a player enters the game, settlement depends solely on their actual points recorded against the threshold defined in each market (e.g., 10+, 15+, etc.). If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve per the final result. If the game is canceled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve at a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying risk assessments and the influence of public opinion on the prediction market price.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible point totals for the Oklahoma City vs San Antonio game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more trades occur, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the final point total and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the Oklahoma City vs San Antonio game will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct point total will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies could significantly impact expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in outlook, causing the price to move accordingly. Monitoring these signals is crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.