TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 12:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will have the higher score in the final quarter of an upcoming basketball game between Oklahoma City and San Antonio. It specifically tracks performance during the 4th quarter, excluding any overtime periods, to determine the winner for that segment of play.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Oklahoma City vs San Antonio Pro Basketball game scheduled for October 20, 2026. If Oklahoma City scores more points in that quarter, the 'Oklahoma City' market resolves to Yes. If San Antonio scores more points, the 'San Antonio' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. For postponements occurring within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result of the rescheduled game. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the standard 4th quarter count; overtime points are excluded from evaluation.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, Oklahoma City or San Antonio winning the 4th quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction behind each potential winner.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be determined by which team has the highest score at the end of the fourth quarter of the game between Oklahoma City and San Antonio. Official game statistics will be used to verify the result. Traders holding a contract for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding a contract for the losing team will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or changes to starting lineups for either Oklahoma City or San Antonio would likely cause significant movement. Game-day reports on team strategies or player matchups could also impact expectations. Additionally, broader NBA news, such as recent team performance or coaching changes, might affect the perceived probabilities. Any shift in public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns, will be visible in the price fluctuations of this market.