TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 12:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points specifically in the second half of an upcoming basketball game between Oklahoma City and San Antonio. The outcome depends solely on the performance during the latter half of the match, excluding the first half's results. If the game is delayed but starts within 48 hours of the scheduled time, it still counts; otherwise, it resolves fairly.
If Oklahoma City wins the 2nd half (including overtime) of the Oklahoma City vs San Antonio Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If San Antonio wins the 2nd half (including overtime) of the Oklahoma City vs San Antonio Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd half (including overtime) of the Oklahoma City vs San Antonio Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust prices based on their own analysis and information. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team performance, potential injuries, or strategic adjustments. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it might indicate an opportunity for value betting, assuming your assessment aligns with either the market or the sportsbook.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each team winning the second half. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded, and those with inaccurate views may incur losses. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards a fair and efficient representation of the expected outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the second half will be declared the winner, and that result will determine the settlement of contracts on Kalshi. The final score will be sourced from official NBA statistics and game results, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning team. Traders should monitor official sources for the final outcome and settlement details.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Oklahoma City or San Antonio teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team strategy, coaching decisions, or unexpected player performance during the first half of the game could also shift expectations. Furthermore, broader NBA news, such as trades or league-wide trends, might influence trading activity. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about team dynamics will be crucial for understanding potential market movements before Oct 21, 2026.