TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 9:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Atlanta or Oklahoma City will win their pro basketball game scheduled for October 12, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Atlanta a 99.0% probability of winning, while Oklahoma City is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Oklahoma City vs Atlanta game, as determined by the official result of that contest. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Oklahoma City wins, or No if Atlanta wins, following the completion of the game originally scheduled for October 12, 2026, with final resolution expected by October 13, 2026.
If Oklahoma City wins the Oklahoma City vs Atlanta Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Atlanta wins the Oklahoma City vs Atlanta Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to openly buy and sell their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into differing perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing the probability of different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the market price isn’t determined by a single entity, but rather by the aggregated actions of all participants. As more traders participate, the price tends to become more accurate and efficient, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome of the Oklahoma City versus Atlanta matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the final result of the Oklahoma City versus Atlanta game, as officially recorded by sports data providers. The market will determine which outcome—Oklahoma City winning or Atlanta winning—is the actual result. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either Oklahoma City or Atlanta would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, shifts in public perception, driven by expert analysis or media coverage, can influence trading activity. Finally, late-breaking news related to player health or off-court issues could introduce volatility and alter the market’s pricing of the game’s outcome.