TOTAL VOLUME:
$155b
24H VOL:
$281,012,624
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,001,463,625
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,948,184,939
411,211
Markets across
39,745
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,440
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 5:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold, determining whether a team exceeds that threshold during the game.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for Ohio and Kent State in their college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the designated point threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds set in each individual market.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, the prediction market price will move to reflect that collective insight. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the teams will score over or under a specific point total. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing perspectives on the game's potential scoring.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Ohio and Kent State, as officially recorded by game officials, will determine whether contracts settle at $100 or $0. The resolution will be based on the officially reported scores and will not be subject to individual interpretation or debate. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Ohio or Kent State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also shift market sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.