TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Ohio State will make over or under 1.5 field goals of 40+ yards in their game against USC. Currently, the consensus probability of Ohio State making over 1.5 such field goals is 100.0%. This aggregation combines data from Predict and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official NCAA game results and statistics as reported on NCAA.com. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 31st, as the final score and in-game events will determine the outcome of these markets.
In the upcoming college football game between Ohio State and USC, scheduled for October 31 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ohio State" if Ohio State win the game. This market will resolve to "USC" if USC win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Ohio State and USC, scheduled for October 31 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ohio State" if Ohio State win the game. This market will resolve to "USC" if USC win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals wagering their own capital based on their beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to differing probabilities, as prediction markets can sometimes aggregate information more efficiently and are less susceptible to biases inherent in sportsbook modeling. Currently, volume on this market is $1,429,228, indicating growing interest in comparing these forecasts.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Ohio State vs. USC game. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, differences in platform-specific rules or fees can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the odds. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Ohio State, while Predict leans toward USC, reflecting these differing dynamics.