TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans (W)
Volume:
$211,869
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Ohio State Buckeyes and Michigan State Spartans scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a fundamental error: both Ohio State winning and Michigan State winning are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket correctly implements a winner-take-all binary structure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version. The market cannot settle correctly because both possible outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes). Use Polymarket exclusively for this event, which has proper winner-differentiated resolution.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Winner-take-all binary resolution. Ohio State victory resolves to Ohio State Buckeyes; Michigan State victory resolves to Michigan State Spartans. Postponements keep market open; cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50. Source: NCAA.com final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Both outcomes incorrectly specified to resolve Yes. Ohio State win = Yes; Michigan State win = Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between the two teams and cannot settle correctly.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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