TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether USC will win the college football game against Ohio State by more than 11.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to USC winning by over 11.5 points. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Ohio St. vs USC college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to ‘Yes’ if Ohio St. wins by more than 24.5 points, with final settlement expected around November 1, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Ohio St. vs USC college football game scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. If Ohio St. wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold for any 'Ohio St. wins by over X points' market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, if USC wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold for any 'USC wins by over X points' market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For games postponed but starting within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve per the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under extraordinary circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading contracts based on their own beliefs. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Ohio State vs USC football game. The market will settle based on which side of the spread the final score falls on. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports source.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Ohio State or USC teams would likely cause significant shifts in the spread. Unexpected news regarding team strategy or coaching changes could also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage leading up to the game can play a role, as can large-volume trades from informed participants. Any significant development affecting the perceived probability of either team winning by a certain margin has the potential to move this market.