TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether USC will win its college football game against Ohio State. Currently, Kalshi gives USC a 90.0% probability of winning, while Ohio State is at 11.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Ohio State vs USC college football game originally scheduled for October 31, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if USC wins the match when it is officially played on October 31, 2026.
The market resolves based on the result of the Ohio State versus USC college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially determined, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open to reflect the actual result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within that 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of many individuals rather than relying on a few experts. However, sportsbook odds often move more quickly in response to breaking news or significant events. It’s common to see initial discrepancies between the two, with this market potentially offering different probabilities than those found at sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information available to each group and the incentives of those making the predictions.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ohio State vs USC game, as reported by a widely recognized sports news source. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on the final score and official game statistics. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the market’s pricing at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any major news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ohio State or USC teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the game day, or even significant media coverage influencing public perception could also move the market. Unexpected announcements about player availability or performance could also lead to rapid price adjustments, as traders react to the new information and reassess the probabilities of each outcome.