TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of an upcoming college football game. Participants predict whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of difficulty for forecasting the game's early momentum.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of the Ohio St. vs Iowa college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 2.5, 5.5, up to 27.5 points); if the actual combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. For all markets, only points scored in the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who consider various factors, such as team statistics and injuries. This market, however, is driven by the collective predictions of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. While both aim to predict the same event, the methodologies and resulting odds can differ, sometimes significantly, as new information becomes available and public sentiment shifts. It’s useful to compare both to gain a comprehensive view.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first quarter of the Ohio State vs Iowa game will be used to determine whether the total points scored were over or under 5.5. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Ohio State or Iowa teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift predictions. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could influence trader sentiment. Finally, even public perception and betting trends observed elsewhere can impact trading activity and, consequently, the price of contracts in this market.