TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 5:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks various scoring thresholds for the first half of an upcoming college football game. Each threshold represents a different level of combined points that the two teams might achieve before halftime. The outcomes depend solely on the actual points scored during that specific segment of the game.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first half of the Ohio St. vs Iowa college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For all markets, only points scored in the first half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance their risk, while this market’s pricing is driven purely by supply and demand. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, they can buy or sell contracts, pushing the price on Kalshi in a direction that reflects their collective insight. This can lead to discrepancies, with the prediction market potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the event occurring. For example, a contract trading at 60 means there’s a 60% implied probability of the total first-half points being over the specified threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on the forces of supply and demand, with more buyers driving the price up and more sellers driving it down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first half of the Ohio State vs Iowa game will be used to determine whether the total points scored exceeded or fell short of the threshold established in the market. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome of this market. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Ohio State or Iowa teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price movements, reflecting shifts in overall market opinion.