TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many receiving touchdowns each team scores in an upcoming college football game. It focuses specifically on touchdowns where a player catches the ball and runs it into the end zone, excluding those from fumble recoveries or two-point conversions.
All markets resolve based on the official number of receiving touchdowns scored by each team during the Ohio St. vs Indiana college football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, including any overtime periods. A receiving touchdown is defined as one where the player catches the ball and scores, with an exception for when a player recovers their own fumble and subsequently scores, which still counts. Successful two-point conversions, regardless of when they occur, do not count toward any market outcome. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prices in this market can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbook odds, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the probability of each outcome. It's a fascinating comparison to observe.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, whether each team will score a touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards what the collective believes is the fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are influenced by news, analysis, and overall market sentiment, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism for this event.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, following the completion of the Ohio State versus Indiana football game. The outcome will be determined by which teams actually score touchdowns during the game, verified against credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100 for any team that scores at least one touchdown, and 0 for any team that fails to do so. The final prices will reflect the accuracy of the market’s predictions compared to the actual game results.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Ohio State or Indiana would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence scoring expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could shift market sentiment. Even public perception, influenced by sports analysts and media coverage, can play a role in driving trading activity and altering the prices in this market before Oct 17, 2026.