TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire match, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live events and not on final scores or other factors.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Ohio St. vs Indiana college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Indiana scores first, Ohio St. scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown at all. All touchdowns—offensive, defensive, or special teams—count toward the resolution, including those scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets are independent of official NCAA affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially favor one team, the prediction market can adjust quickly based on collective insight and any breaking news surrounding the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring – in this case, either Ohio State or Indiana scoring the first touchdown. As more people buy contracts predicting one team, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price, creating a dynamic and responsive system for forecasting the game’s initial scoring team.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first touchdown in the Ohio State vs Indiana game. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports news source, will determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Ohio State or Indiana would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the game plan and scoring potential, moving the market accordingly. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might affect trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations in this market. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role.