TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:53 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how many points Ohio State and Indiana will score together in the final quarter of their college football matchup. Each market has a different threshold, determining whether the combined score exceeds that amount.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the fourth quarter of the Ohio State vs Indiana college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points); if the combined fourth-quarter points exceed the threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the fourth quarter count, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA.
Generally, prediction markets like this one tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, as they reflect the collective wisdom of many participants. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and often serve as a useful benchmark. It’s common to see initial discrepancies between the two, with prediction markets often incorporating information and perspectives that sportsbooks may overlook. The efficiency of this market comes from traders actively buying and selling contracts, adjusting the price based on new information and their own analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 4th quarter total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the 4th quarter of the Ohio State vs Indiana game will be used to determine whether contracts predicting 'over' or 'under' a certain threshold will pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Ohio State or Indiana teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also play a role. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first three quarters—such as a dominant offensive showing by one team—could shift expectations and affect trading activity in this market. Public sentiment and betting trends could also contribute to price fluctuations.