TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Ohio State or Indiana during the third quarter of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team in that quarter alone.
These markets resolve based on the point differential by which either Ohio State or Indiana wins during the third quarter of the game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point spread threshold that must be exceeded for a 'Yes' resolution. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward the outcome. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and opinions that differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. This means the odds here can sometimes be more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and widely publicized, making them a common point of reference for many bettors. It's not uncommon to see discrepancies between the two, reflecting different perspectives on the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the third quarter of the Ohio State vs Indiana game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports organization. The winning contract will be the one corresponding to the actual point spread achieved during the third quarter. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ohio State or Indiana teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the game's style of play, could also shift the odds. Additionally, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as public sentiment and betting patterns observed on Kalshi, could all contribute to fluctuations in the market price before the game concludes.