TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Ohio State or Indiana in the second half of their upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during the second half, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Ohio St. vs Indiana college football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team achieves a victory margin exceeding the specified point differential for that market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point spread threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis from a diverse range of participants. This can sometimes lead to differences compared to sportsbook odds, which are typically set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially set lines to attract action, while this market evolves as more information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook lines converge closer to game time as uncertainty decreases, though discrepancies can still occur.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second half. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time representation of expectations. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded, and incorrect ones result in losses.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second half of the Ohio State vs Indiana game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of the game. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. All trading will cease once the outcome is officially known.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ohio State or Indiana teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game’s style of play, could also affect trading activity. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any significant shifts in public perception or betting trends, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Oct 17, 2026.