TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the margin of victory in the first quarter of a college football game between Ohio State and Indiana. It allows participants to speculate on whether one team will dominate early in the game by a specific point differential.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the first quarter of the Ohio State versus Indiana college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold for Ohio State or Indiana to win by, with thresholds ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to reflect the true probability of outcomes, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk assessments. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently and react faster to new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering more favorable odds for informed participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with buyers driving the price up and sellers driving it down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and reflect the collective belief of participants regarding the likely outcome of the Ohio State vs Indiana spread. The current price indicates the probability traders assign to a particular spread being correct.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread achieved in the first quarter of the Ohio State versus Indiana game will be compared to the contract spreads offered on Kalshi to determine winning and losing contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ohio State or Indiana teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable to one team's playing style, could also shift the market. Finally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to price movements in the Ohio State vs Indiana spread.