TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Ohio State will win the first half of their college football game against Indiana by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of Ohio State winning the first half by over 1.5 points is 99.0% on Kalshi. The resolution source for this market is based on the outcome of the first half of the Ohio St. vs Indiana college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 17, 2026, as the first half score will determine the market’s resolution.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Ohio State versus Indiana college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for the winning margin required for resolution, ranging from over 1.5 points to over 17.5 points in favor of either team. If Ohio State meets or exceeds the specified margin in any market, that market resolves to Yes; if Indiana meets or exceeds its specified margin, that market also resolves to Yes. If neither team meets their respective threshold, the market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the official result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi, tend to reflect a more accurate forecast of the event’s outcome than traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of many individuals, incentivized to be accurate through financial stakes. While sportsbooks may incorporate biases or marketing considerations, this market relies on the collective judgment of traders. However, it’s important to note that sportsbook odds are readily available and can provide a useful point of comparison when forming your own opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Ohio State will cover, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread established by official game statistics will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Specifically, the market will settle based on whether the actual point spread falls above or below the spread indicated by the contract price at the time of purchase. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries to key players on either Ohio State or Indiana would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might affect trading activity. Unexpected announcements related to team performance or public sentiment could also lead to price fluctuations in this market.