TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:49 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Dota 2 match between two teams, OG and Team Yandex, scheduled for October 24, 2026. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the contest. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellations will follow specific resolution guidelines based on timing and official declarations.
The event determines the winner of a scheduled Dota 2 match between OG and Team Yandex at the PARI Universe 2026 tournament. If OG wins the match as originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, the OG market resolves to Yes, and the Team Yandex market resolves to No. Conversely, if Team Yandex wins, their market resolves to Yes, and OG’s resolves to No. Should the match be postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited without any gameplay, all markets resolve to their respective fair market prices. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the outcome is determined by the official result declared by the tournament organizer or governing body. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides and ensure profitability. This market, however, allows anyone to trade and express their belief about the likely outcome, leading to odds that can diverge from sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, particularly when a diverse range of opinions contribute to the pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the OG vs. Team Yandex match, and the price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves based on supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that outcome occurring. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the OG vs. Team Yandex match as declared by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. News regarding team performance, player injuries, or strategic changes could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the competition format or venue could also cause shifts in probabilities. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, might also play a role, though the market doesn't directly track these. Any significant development related to either OG or Team Yandex has the potential to move this market before Oct 24, 2026.