TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:57 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between OFK Beograd and FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "OFK Beograd" if OFK Beograd are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade" if FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between OFK Beograd and FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "OFK Beograd" if OFK Beograd are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade" if FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on their own models and may incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they can drive the price on Polymarket to reflect that view. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular team to score first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team – OFK Beograd or FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade – scores the first goal in the match. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified sources. The platform will then distribute payouts to traders holding shares in the winning outcome, based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players, or changes in coaching strategies could shift the probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match statements from players or managers could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, general news about the teams' recent performance or historical head-to-head records might cause fluctuations. A surge in betting activity on either team in traditional sportsbooks could also be a signal that influences trading on Polymarket.