TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a league fixture. Bettors can speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a draw within the standard match duration. The resolution depends solely on the result after the allocated 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Odisha vs NorthEast Utd professional Indian Super League soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time; if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price. The event exclusively considers results from regular time and does not include extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to attract balanced betting, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on information and analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to varying information sources, analytical approaches, and the incentives of participants. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or vice versa, and represents an opportunity for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market-making system to ensure there are always bids and asks available, facilitating continuous trading. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly, reflecting the evolving expectations of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Odisha vs NorthEast Utd match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders who held contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those who bet against it will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, real-time updates during the match itself, such as early goals or red cards, will undoubtedly cause rapid price fluctuations. Public opinion, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also contribute to shifts in the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.