TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional Overwatch match between NTMR and Team Liquid scheduled for October 24, 2026, as part of the OCS North America Stage 3 tournament. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match. Outcomes are determined by official tournament results, with specific handling for postponed, cancelled, or forfeited matches.
The event determines the winner of the OCS North America Stage 3 2026 Overwatch match between NTMR and Team Liquid, scheduled for October 24, 2026. If NTMR wins the match, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Team Liquid wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the match be postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited without any gameplay, both markets resolve to their fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the result follows the official outcome declared by the tournament organizer or governing body. This structure ensures resolution reflects actual competitive results while accounting for common tournament disruptions.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available, especially close to the event date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in response to changing expectations about the NTMR vs. Team Liquid match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the OCS North America Stage 3 2026 match between NTMR and Team Liquid. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team strategies, or changes in team rosters would likely cause price movement. Major upsets in other matches within the tournament could also shift expectations. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also influence trading activity. Finally, any unexpected announcements related to the event’s schedule or location could introduce volatility. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 25, 2026.