TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional Overwatch esports match between two teams, NTMR and Spacestation Gaming, scheduled for October 25, 2026, as part of the OCS North America Stage 3 2026 tournament. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match. If the match does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time due to postponement, cancellation, or forfeiture before any gameplay occurs, the market resolves based on fair pricing principles.
The market resolves based on the result of the Overwatch match between NTMR and Spacestation Gaming scheduled for October 25, 2026, in the OCS North America Stage 3 2026 tournament. If NTMR wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Spacestation Gaming wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the match be postponed and fail to start within 48 hours of its original schedule, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited without any gameplay, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match begins but is later forfeited, the result follows the official outcome declared by the tournament organizer or governing body.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. If you observe a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it may signal an opportunity to capitalize on a perceived mispricing, but remember that both represent probabilities as seen by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a specific outcome – in this case, either NTMR or Spacestation Gaming winning. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price of those contracts increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven entirely by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on their own analysis and expectations. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the OCS North America Stage 3 2026 match between NTMR and Spacestation Gaming. The winning team, as declared by the tournament organizers, will determine the winning contract in this market. No further information about the resolution process is available beyond confirming the official match results from reliable sources.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player form, team strategies, or any unexpected roster changes for either NTMR or Spacestation Gaming would likely have a significant impact. Major tournament upsets in other events could also affect perceptions of team strength. Even social media sentiment and public discussion surrounding the match could contribute to price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their forecasts. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either team winning are likely to move this market.