TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a specific Overwatch match between two professional esports teams in a scheduled tournament stage. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match as officially recognized by the tournament organizers.
The market resolves based on the result of the OCS North America Stage 3 2026 Overwatch match between Disguised and Team Liquid, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026. If Disguised wins, that market resolves to Yes; if Team Liquid wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any gameplay, all markets resolve to their fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for Team Liquid, for example, the price will increase, reflecting a higher perceived chance of their victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news, roster changes, or performance updates. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the OCS North America Stage 3 match between Disguised and Team Liquid. The winning team, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning contract in this market. Any disputes or clarifications regarding the official results will be addressed using publicly available information from the tournament’s governing body. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the match takes place. Major announcements regarding player form, changes to team rosters, or strategic shifts could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news about team practice schedules, health updates for key players, or even analysis of recent match performances could lead to shifts in the odds. Any significant developments within the Overwatch competitive scene, or even broader esports news, could also move this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the probabilities evolve leading up to Oct 26, 2026.