TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

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events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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Kalshi:

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OCS North America Stage 3 2026: Disguised vs. Team Liquid
kalshi

What is the result of Disguised vs. Team Liquid?

Volume:
$5,368

Team Liquid

 - Kalshi

Team Liquid - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 6:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Team Liquid

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,225
N/A
N/A
$2,962
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Disguised

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,143
N/A
N/A
$1,547
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This market tracks the outcome of a specific Overwatch match between two professional esports teams in a scheduled tournament stage. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match as officially recognized by the tournament organizers.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the OCS North America Stage 3 2026 Overwatch match between Disguised and Team Liquid, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026. If Disguised wins, that market resolves to Yes; if Team Liquid wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any gameplay, all markets resolve to their fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If sportsbooks heavily favor one team, you might see a different probability distribution here, especially if there's disagreement among informed bettors. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, as they aggregate diverse perspectives and continuously update based on new data. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of potential results.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for Team Liquid, for example, the price will increase, reflecting a higher perceived chance of their victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news, roster changes, or performance updates. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of participants.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the OCS North America Stage 3 match between Disguised and Team Liquid. The winning team, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning contract in this market. Any disputes or clarifications regarding the official results will be addressed using publicly available information from the tournament’s governing body. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before the match takes place. Major announcements regarding player form, changes to team rosters, or strategic shifts could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news about team practice schedules, health updates for key players, or even analysis of recent match performances could lead to shifts in the odds. Any significant developments within the Overwatch competitive scene, or even broader esports news, could also move this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the probabilities evolve leading up to Oct 26, 2026.