TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a specific Overwatch match between two professional esports teams scheduled for October 11, 2026, as part of the OCS North America Stage 3 tournament. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match according to official tournament rules.
The market resolves based on the official result of the Overwatch match between Disguised and Dallas Fuel scheduled for October 11, 2026, in the OCS North America Stage 3 tournament. If either team wins the match as officially recognized by the tournament organizers, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any gameplay, all markets resolve to their fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the result will be determined by the official outcome published by the governing body or tournament organizer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a specific outcome, and the price of those contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting Dallas Fuel will win, the price increases, and the implied probability of that outcome rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants trading in this market, providing a real-time assessment of the likely result of the match between Disguised and Dallas Fuel.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the OCS North America Stage 3 match between Disguised and Dallas Fuel. Specifically, it will be determined by which team is declared the winner according to the official Overwatch League standings and broadcast results. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the final outcome of the competition.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Disguised or Dallas Fuel could significantly shift expectations. Major announcements about the tournament format or venue could also play a role. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to this one might also impact perceptions of team strength. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning is likely to move the market.