TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:39 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional Overwatch match between two esports teams, T1 and Crazy Raccoon, scheduled for October 10, 2026, as part of the OCS Korea Stage 3 2026 tournament. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellation will adjust the resolution based on official rulings or fair market assessments.
The event determines the winner of a specific Overwatch match between T1 and Crazy Raccoon in the OCS Korea Stage 3 2026 tournament. If T1 wins the match as scheduled on October 10, 2026, the T1 market resolves to Yes, and the Crazy Raccoon market resolves to No. Conversely, if Crazy Raccoon wins, their market resolves to Yes, and T1’s resolves to No. Should the match be postponed beyond 48 hours of its original start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited without any gameplay, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If play commences but is later forfeited, the outcome follows the official result declared by the tournament organizer or governing body. This structure ensures resolution aligns with the actual competitive result or appropriate adjustments when the match cannot proceed as planned.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of information than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant discrepancy emerges between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing expert opinions or a belief among traders that the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially when there’s a lot of public information available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a particular outcome, and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting T1 will win, the price of those contracts increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of each team’s victory in the OCS Korea Stage 3 match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the OCS Korea Stage 3 match between T1 and Crazy Raccoon. The winning team, as determined by the official tournament organizers, will dictate the settlement of contracts on Kalshi. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either T1 or Crazy Raccoon could significantly shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other Overwatch competitions, or announcements about meta shifts impacting the game, could also play a role. Additionally, large volume trades on Kalshi themselves can create momentum and drive price fluctuations, as traders react to and anticipate further movements before the match on Oct 10, 2026.