TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:40 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an Overwatch esports match between two professional teams in a scheduled tournament. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match, with specific handling for match disruptions like postponements, cancellations, or forfeitures.
The market resolves based on the result of the OCS Korea Stage 3 2026 Overwatch match between Falcons and Crazy Raccoon scheduled for October 17, 2026. If Falcons win the match, their corresponding market resolves to Yes, and the Crazy Raccoon market resolves to No, and vice versa. If the match is postponed and does not commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, or if it is cancelled or forfeited before any gameplay occurs, both markets resolve to their respective fair market prices. If the match begins but is later forfeited, the outcome is determined by the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer, with the market resolving accordingly.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate forecasters of event outcomes than traditional methods, as they aggregate diverse perspectives and adapt quickly to changing circumstances. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities between this market and sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants. The goal is to converge on a price that accurately reflects the true probability of each outcome, allowing traders to profit from correctly anticipating the event's result.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the OCS Korea Stage 3 competition between Falcons and Crazy Raccoon. The platform will verify the winner through publicly available sources and announce the settled outcome. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not. The precise timing of the resolution may vary slightly depending on the availability of official results, but it will occur shortly after the event concludes.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Unexpected news regarding player form, team strategies, or even logistical challenges could all shift trader sentiment. Major announcements about roster changes, coaching decisions, or potential injuries would likely have a significant impact. Additionally, any significant shifts in public opinion or expert predictions could also drive price movements. Monitoring news sources, social media, and esports analysis websites can provide valuable insights into potential catalysts that could move this market. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to affect trading activity.