TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 6:49 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an Overwatch esports match between two teams in a scheduled tournament. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match, with specific conditions applied if the match does not proceed as planned.
The market resolves based on the result of the OCS Japan Stage 3 2026 Overwatch match between REVATI and Uwinks, scheduled for October 12, 2026. If REVATI wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Uwinks wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the match be postponed beyond 48 hours of its original start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any gameplay, all markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the outcome follows the official result declared by the tournament organizer or governing body.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they can buy 'yes' contracts, driving up the price and potentially signaling a mispricing. This dynamic can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It’s a different way to assess probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders can earn money based on the difference between their buy and sell prices. This creates a dynamic and efficient pricing mechanism for the OCS Japan Stage 3 market.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the REVATI vs. Uwinks match in OCS Japan Stage 3. The platform will verify the results against trusted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will receive nothing. The exact timing of the resolution may vary slightly depending on the availability of official results.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for REVATI or Uwinks could influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in other OCS Japan Stage 3 matches could also shift perceptions of relative team strength. Furthermore, public opinion and analyst predictions, while not directly impacting the market, can influence trader behavior. Finally, any significant announcements related to the tournament itself, such as venue changes or rule modifications, could also cause price fluctuations in this market.