TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 6:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a specific Overwatch esports match between two teams in the OCS Japan Stage 3 2026 tournament. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match as scheduled. Any changes to the match timeline, such as postponements or cancellations, will adjust the resolution based on fair pricing or official results.
The event determines the winner of the OCS Japan Stage 3 2026 Overwatch match between MURASH GAMING and REVATI scheduled for October 14, 2026. If MURASH GAMING wins the match, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and REVATI’s market resolves to No. Conversely, if REVATI secures the victory, its market resolves to Yes, and MURASH GAMING’s market resolves to No. Should the match be postponed beyond 48 hours of its original start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited without any gameplay, all markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the outcome is determined by the official result declared by the tournament organizer or governing body.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals willing to put their capital at risk. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when there's significant public interest or debate surrounding the event. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the likely outcome of the MURASH GAMING vs. REVATI match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice-versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently reflect the evolving expectations of participants regarding the OCS Japan Stage 3 match between MURASH GAMING and REVATI.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of the MURASH GAMING vs. REVATI Overwatch match in OCS Japan Stage 3 will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the results against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 14, 2026. Any news regarding team rosters, player performance, strategic changes, or even unexpected announcements about the tournament format could all shift expectations. Major upsets in other matches leading up to the MURASH GAMING vs. REVATI game could also impact sentiment. Additionally, significant trading volume from informed participants or large-scale bets could signal a change in perceived probabilities, leading to price adjustments within this market.