TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional Overwatch match between two esports teams scheduled for October 18, 2026, as part of the OCS EMEA Stage 3 tournament. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellation will follow specific resolution guidelines based on official tournament rulings.
The event determines the winner of an Overwatch match between Team Risk and Virtus.pro in the OCS EMEA Stage 3 2026 tournament. If Team Risk wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Virtus.pro wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the match be postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited without any gameplay, both markets resolve to their fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the result follows the official outcome declared by the tournament organizer or governing body.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of Team Risk defeating Virtus.pro. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to odds that diverge from initial sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to find an equilibrium. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, team performance, and overall market sentiment regarding the CS2 Team Risk vs. Virtus.pro match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the OCS EMEA Stage 3 2026 match between Team Risk and Virtus.pro. The winning team, as determined by the tournament organizers and reported by reputable esports news sources, will dictate the settlement of this market. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or strategic changes within either Team Risk or Virtus.pro would likely cause price fluctuations. Major tournament results leading up to the match, showcasing either team’s current performance, could also shift the odds. Even broader esports news, such as updates to the CS2 game itself, or significant roster changes in competing teams, could indirectly influence trading activity in this market. Unexpected announcements regarding the match schedule or location could also create volatility.