TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an Overwatch esports match between two teams, Team Risk and Twisted Minds, scheduled for October 17, 2026, as part of the OCS EMEA Stage 3 tournament. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match. Any changes to the match schedule or conditions are handled through specific resolution rules.
The event determines the winner of the Overwatch match between Team Risk and Twisted Minds at OCS EMEA Stage 3 on October 17, 2026. If Team Risk wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Twisted Minds wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any gameplay, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the result follows the official outcome declared by the tournament organizer. These rules ensure clarity and fairness in resolving outcomes based on match results or external disruptions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their analysis, while this market's odds are driven by supply and demand as traders buy and sell contracts. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a team’s chances, the odds in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy 'yes' contracts (betting on Twisted Minds winning) and 'no' contracts (betting on Team Risk winning). The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of Twisted Minds winning, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the latest information and collective predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the OCS EMEA Stage 3 Overwatch match between Team Risk and Twisted Minds. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available game results. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either Team Risk or Twisted Minds could significantly impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in other matches leading up to the event, or announcements about the playing conditions, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders could signal a change in expectations and cause the market to react quickly.