TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional Overwatch match between Team Risk and Geekay Esports scheduled for October 25, 2026, as part of the OCS EMEA Stage 3 tournament. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellations will adjust the resolution based on official rulings or fair market pricing.
The event determines the winner of the OCS EMEA Stage 3 2026 Overwatch match between Team Risk and Geekay Esports, scheduled for October 25, 2026. If Team Risk wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and if Geekay Esports wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the match be postponed beyond 48 hours of its original start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited without any gameplay, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the resolution follows the official result declared by the tournament organizer or governing body. The outcome hinges exclusively on the full match result, with specific provisions for scheduling disruptions and forfeitures ensuring fair resolution under all scenarios.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available leading up to the match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s expectation of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price is determined by the highest bid and lowest ask, constantly adjusting based on trader activity and new information regarding Team Risk and Geekay Esports’ performance.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the OCS EMEA Stage 3 match between Team Risk and Geekay Esports. The team declared the winner by the official tournament organizers will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency in determining the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team rosters, player performance, strategic changes, or unexpected developments in the Overwatch competitive scene could shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other matches leading up to the event, or announcements about team practice schedules, could also play a role. Furthermore, public perception and analysis from esports commentators and analysts could impact the perceived probabilities, causing fluctuations in the market prices as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.