TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional Overwatch match between two esports teams competing in a regional tournament. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match as scheduled. Any changes to the match schedule or unexpected interruptions follow specific resolution guidelines.
The market resolves based on the result of the OCS EMEA Stage 3 2026 Overwatch match between Team Risk and 1234, scheduled for October 11, 2026. If Team Risk wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and the opposite occurs if 1234 wins. For matches that are postponed beyond 48 hours of their original start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any gameplay, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a match starts but is later forfeited, the outcome follows the official result declared by the tournament organizer or governing body.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially identifying mispriced opportunities that sportsbooks may have overlooked. While direct comparisons are possible, it’s important to remember that each operates under different mechanisms and attracts different types of bettors. This market's odds may diverge from sportsbook lines based on these factors.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the OCS EMEA Stage 3 competition between Team Risk and 1234. The winning team, as declared by the tournament organizers, will determine the winning contract in this market. Traders will be able to view the official results and confirmation of resolution on Kalshi following the event's conclusion. The outcome is determined by the verified results of the competition.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding team performance, player injuries, or strategic changes could all significantly shift the odds. Major announcements from the tournament organizers, such as schedule adjustments or rule changes, could also impact market prices. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the OCS EMEA Stage 3 competition could also indirectly affect perceptions of Team Risk and 1234’s chances. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning is likely to move this market before Oct 11, 2026.