TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional Overwatch match between Team Peps and Geekay Esports scheduled for October 17, 2026, as part of the OCS EMEA Stage 3 tournament. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellations will adjust the resolution based on official rulings or fair market pricing.
The market resolves based on the result of the Overwatch match between Team Peps and Geekay Esports scheduled for October 17, 2026. If Team Peps wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and likewise for Geekay Esports. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its original start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any gameplay, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the result follows the official outcome declared by the tournament organizer or governing body.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on team statistics and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by the collective predictions of many individuals. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that market participants have access to information or insights not fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It's common to see differences emerge as the event approaches and new information surfaces, impacting both sets of odds.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit bids (the price they are willing to buy) and asks (the price they are willing to sell) for contracts representing the outcome of the Team Peps versus Geekay Esports match. The market price reflects the midpoint between the best bid and ask. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the OCS EMEA Stage 3 match between Team Peps and Geekay Esports. The winning team, as determined by the official tournament organizers, will be the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final results.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either Team Peps or Geekay Esports could significantly shift the odds. Major announcements about the tournament format or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, performance in preceding matches or scrims, even if unofficial, might sway traders’ opinions. Public sentiment and social media discussions surrounding the teams could also contribute to price movements, reflecting the collective expectations of the community.