TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a specific Overwatch match between two esports teams in the OCS EMEA Stage 3 2026 tournament. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match scheduled for October 18, 2026. Any changes to the match schedule or unexpected events are managed through predefined resolution guidelines.
The market resolves based on the result of the Overwatch match between 1234 and Twisted Minds at OCS EMEA Stage 3 2026, scheduled for October 18. If either team wins the match, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its original start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited without any gameplay, all markets resolve to their fair market price. If play starts and a forfeiture occurs later, the market resolves according to the official result declared by the tournament organizer or governing body.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the market. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth—the number of buy and sell orders at various price points—indicates the level of agreement among traders. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by the official result of the 1234 vs. Twisted Minds Overwatch match in the OCS EMEA Stage 3 competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. This ensures a fair and reliable resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team rosters, player performance, strategic changes, or unexpected developments in the OCS EMEA Stage 3 competition could shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other matches, announcements about patch updates to the game, or even social media discussions among prominent Overwatch analysts could all play a role. A strong performance by either 1234 or Twisted Minds in a preceding tournament could also significantly impact the odds, as traders adjust their expectations based on the latest information.