TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional Overwatch esports match between two top Chinese teams. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in their head-to-head confrontation during a scheduled tournament stage. All outcomes are determined by official tournament results, with specific handling for match disruptions.
The market resolves based on the official result of the OCS China Stage 3 2026 Overwatch match between JD Gaming and Weibo Gaming scheduled for October 10, 2026. If JD Gaming wins the match, their market resolves to Yes, and Weibo Gaming's market resolves to No, and vice versa for a Weibo Gaming victory. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its original start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited without any gameplay occurring, both markets resolve to their respective fair market prices. If gameplay starts and a forfeiture occurs afterward, the market resolves according to the official result declared by the tournament organizer or governing body.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven by individuals willing to put their capital at risk. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing JD Gaming or Weibo Gaming, the odds here will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news or events influencing the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price of those contracts increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of them winning. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven entirely by supply and demand from traders on Kalshi, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the OCS China Stage 3 2026 match between JD Gaming and Weibo Gaming. The winning team, as determined by the official tournament organizers, will be the basis for determining the winning contract in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Major announcements regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either JD Gaming or Weibo Gaming would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected results in other qualifying matches or tournaments could also shift perceptions of each team’s strength. Even significant media coverage or analyst opinions could impact trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations in this market.