TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 11:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Oaxaca and Zacatecas. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, reflecting different levels of scoring intensity in the game. It provides insight into expectations for the match's offensive output.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Oaxaca vs Zacatecas professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer match, scheduled for October 29, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. The match must complete its full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from goal counts. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, with resolution to 'Yes' if the actual goals surpass that threshold. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from many participants. As more people trade, the prices on Kalshi tend to converge towards what many believe is the true probability of the event occurring. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by new information, changing opinions, and overall trading activity, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Oaxaca vs Zacatecas match will be used to determine the winning contract. Official match statistics from a recognized sporting authority will serve as the basis for verification. Traders who correctly predicted the total goals scored will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Oaxaca or Zacatecas would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also play a role. Significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in social media or sports news, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.