TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Oaxaca vs Zacatecas: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Oaxaca vs Zacatecas?

Volume:
$75,816

Oaxaca wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Oaxaca wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 11:01 PM EST

kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oaxaca wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,441
N/A
N/A
$8,888
Settled
No
kalshi

Zacatecas wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,317
N/A
N/A
$28,814
Settled
No
kalshi

Oaxaca wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,694
N/A
N/A
$1,322
Settled
No
kalshi

Zacatecas wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$365
N/A
N/A
$346
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Oaxaca and Zacatecas, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. These thresholds vary depending on which team wins and by how many goals.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different winning margins in the Oaxaca vs Zacatecas professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer match scheduled for October 29, 2026. Resolution occurs based on the goal differential after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcomes are possible: Oaxaca winning by more than 2.5 goals, Oaxaca winning by more than 1.5 goals, Zacatecas winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Zacatecas winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each primary rule defines a specific threshold for resolution, with all secondary rules consistently stating that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league and that all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Oaxaca vs Zacatecas match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the perceived probability of different outcomes shifts over time, reflected in the price fluctuations. Currently, the total volume for this market is $73,494, with $71,405 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of how PredictionHero users are evaluating the potential spread in this game, offering insight into collective expectations before the event.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of informed traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team strength, potential injuries, or even external factors impacting the game. If significant differences exist, opportunities for arbitrage may emerge, where traders can profit by exploiting the price difference between the two venues. It’s important to note that these are independent assessments of the likely outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Oaxaca vs Zacatecas match will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the league, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution process.

Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Oaxaca or Zacatecas would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on game day, or even significant pre-game analysis from sports commentators, could all contribute to changes in the perceived probability of different outcomes. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions.