TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 10:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether both Oaxaca and Cruz Azul Hidalgo will manage to score a goal in their upcoming Liga de Expansion MX match. The focus is solely on the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with own goals counted for the team they are awarded to.
If Oaxaca and Cruz Azul Hidalgo both score a goal in the Oaxaca vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo Liga de Expansion MX match originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on the aggregated predictions of individuals. It's common to see discrepancies arise due to differing information, biases, or interpretations of the event's likelihood. Examining these differences can reveal insights into public perception versus professional analysis regarding the Oaxaca vs Cruz Azul match and the probability of both teams scoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the likelihood of both Oaxaca and Cruz Azul scoring in the match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a probability percentage. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective expectation of all participants, and the market dynamically adjusts to new information and trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Oaxaca and Cruz Azul score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from recognized sports authorities will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The market will then settle based on whether both teams scored, paying out to those who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Oaxaca or Cruz Azul would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also affect the likelihood of goals being scored. Furthermore, team form leading up to the match, tactical changes announced by the managers, and even public sentiment expressed through social media could all contribute to shifts in trading activity and, consequently, the market price.