TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 11:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in Mexico's Liga de Expansion MX. The result is determined solely by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve based on whether one team wins outright or if the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Oaxaca vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer match scheduled for October 22, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for either team resolves the respective market to Yes, while a tied result resolves the Tie market to Yes. Extra time and penalty shootout outcomes are explicitly excluded from consideration. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their true beliefs about the probability of each outcome. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate forecasts, as they aggregate diverse perspectives. However, sportsbook odds can be useful as a reference point, especially early in the market, to gauge initial public sentiment regarding the Oaxaca vs Cruz Azul match.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Oaxaca vs Cruz Azul match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The market will determine which outcome – Oaxaca wins, Cruz Azul wins, or a draw – is the correct result. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 23, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Oaxaca or Cruz Azul could significantly shift expectations. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, will also impact the market. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, as could any significant announcements related to team strategy or coaching changes. Any new information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths will likely lead to price movements in this market.