TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Oaxaca vs Correcaminos: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Oaxaca vs Correcaminos?

Volume:
$30,407

Oaxaca wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Oaxaca wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 11:02 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oaxaca wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,411
N/A
N/A
$5,798
Settled
No
kalshi

Correcaminos wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,490
N/A
N/A
$6,789
Settled
No
kalshi

Oaxaca wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,374
N/A
N/A
$3,553
Settled
No
kalshi

Correcaminos wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,133
N/A
N/A
$2,714
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. The result depends on which team wins and by how many goals they win, with different thresholds defining a successful outcome.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential of the Oaxaca vs Correcaminos professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer match scheduled for October 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Oaxaca wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, the market resolves positively for Oaxaca. Conversely, if Correcaminos wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals, the market resolves positively for Correcaminos. The event exclusively considers regular-time results, with no affiliation to the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Oaxaca vs Correcaminos match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the total volume for this market is $30,407, with $28,835 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of how the crowd is assessing the potential results of the game, offering insights beyond traditional analysis.

Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd rather than the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information and potentially offer more accurate probabilities, though sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing on certain outcomes.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Oaxaca vs Correcaminos match, specifically the final score and any applicable spread, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and reporting, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Kalshi.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 9, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators could also sway trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi could cause rapid price fluctuations, especially if they signal a strong conviction about a particular outcome. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding the market’s dynamics.