TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 12:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams, focusing on the result after the standard playing time. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a draw, based on the official match result.
The markets resolve based on the official result of the Oakland Roots SC vs San Antonio professional USL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for either team-specific market occurs only if that team secures a win within regulation time. If the match concludes in a tie under the same conditions, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The resolution strictly follows the governing league’s official match result and timing parameters, with no affiliation implied between the platform and the league.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook has mispriced a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices react to new information or shifts in sentiment. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Oakland Roots vs San Antonio match will be used to determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on publicly available and trusted sources. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Additionally, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns or media coverage, can also drive price movements. A surprising result in a related match or a significant tactical adjustment announced by either team could also cause the market to react. Monitoring these factors can provide valuable insights into potential trading opportunities.