TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the CHI Bears will win their game against the NY Jets by more than 5.5 points. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the final score of the NY Jets vs CHI Bears Pro Football game, as defined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the outcome of the game itself on October 4, 2026, as that is when this market will be resolved based on the final point differential.
The markets resolve based on the point differential of the NY Jets vs CHI Bears Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. If the Chicago Bears win by exceeding the specified point margin, the corresponding 'CHI Bears wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the New York Jets win by exceeding the specified margin, the relevant 'NY Jets wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. If neither team meets their respective threshold for a given market, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criteria based on the exact point differential. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s pricing is driven by individuals willing to buy or sell contracts based on their own assessments. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these discrepancies can be a valuable exercise for informed forecasting, as the market aggregates diverse perspectives on the likely outcome of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual game spread will fall on that side. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in various outcomes, and the price movements provide a real-time assessment of the game’s expected result.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the NY Jets versus CHI Bears game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The contracts will then pay out based on whether the actual spread falls on the buy or sell side of the contracts purchased. The final price will reflect the collective prediction made by traders leading up to the game’s completion.
Several factors could significantly influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Jets or the Bears would likely cause movement, as would updates on weather conditions expected during the game. Changes in coaching strategies or significant shifts in public perception, driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role, as traders react to any information that alters their assessment of the game’s likely outcome.