TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess how many points will be scored in the final quarter of a football game between the New York Jets and the Chicago Bears. Each market sets a different threshold for the total points scored by both teams combined during that specific period. The outcome depends solely on whether the actual scoring exceeds the specified threshold.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the New York Jets and the Chicago Bears during the 4th quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a unique threshold—ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points—and resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score exceeds that threshold. Only points scored during regulation play in the 4th quarter count; overtime points are excluded from all calculations. The markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information emerges – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – both prediction market prices and sportsbook odds will adjust. However, prediction markets often become more accurate closer to the event, potentially offering a more refined probability assessment than traditional betting lines. It's common to see convergence as the event nears.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter of the Jets-Bears game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the 4th quarter will be the determining factor, and that information will be sourced from official game statistics. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, relying on publicly available data to ensure a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Jets or the Bears would likely cause a shift in expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, as the game progresses and early scoring occurs, the market will react dynamically to the unfolding events, potentially leading to substantial price movements.