TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the point differential between the NY Jets and CHI Bears specifically during the third quarter of their scheduled game. It focuses solely on performance within that quarter, ignoring overall game outcomes or other quarters' scores.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point margin by which either team wins during the third quarter of the NY Jets vs CHI Bears game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold—ranging from over 2.5 to over 10.5 points—for either the Bears or Jets to win by. If the winning team exceeds the stated margin during that quarter, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored in the third quarter count toward these outcomes, and all markets operate independently of each other.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professional oddsmakers, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see initial discrepancies between the two, but as the event approaches, the prices often converge as more information becomes available and traders refine their assessments. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets offer a different mechanism for price discovery than sportsbooks, driven by direct trading rather than expert opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the 3rd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to find an equilibrium point where buyers and sellers are willing to transact. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing means the market constantly updates as new information emerges, offering a real-time assessment of the likely outcome of the Jets-Bears 3rd quarter spread.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the 3rd quarter of the NY Jets vs. CHI Bears game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, and the contract corresponding to the correct spread will pay out $1.00. The market will close prior to the end of the 3rd quarter to allow for accurate data verification and payout processing. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Jets or the Bears would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about coaching decisions or team strategies could shift expectations and move the price. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role, influencing trader behavior and affecting the Jets-Bears 3rd quarter spread.