TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the second half of an upcoming football game between the NY Jets and the Chicago Bears. It specifically evaluates performance from the start of the third quarter through the end of regulation time, including any overtime periods.
If Chicago wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the NY Jets vs CHI Bears Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If New York J wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the NY Jets vs CHI Bears Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the NY Jets vs CHI Bears Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market reflects what participants believe will actually happen. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of bettors contributing to the prediction market. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as game time approaches and more information surfaces.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, offering a real-time assessment of expectations for the second half winner of the Jets-Bears game.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team that is leading at the end of the second half of the Jets-Bears game will be declared the winner. The platform will verify the result against official game statistics and reporting to determine the final settlement of all contracts. Traders will then be paid out or required to cover their positions based on the outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineup for either the Jets or the Bears would likely cause movement. In-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant offensive showing or a crucial turnover, could also shift expectations. Weather conditions, particularly if they change unexpectedly, and even late-breaking analysis from sports commentators could all contribute to fluctuations in the price of contracts in this market.