TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both the NY Jets and CHI Bears during the first quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points that need to be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a success.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of the specified Pro Football game. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from over 3.5 points to over 24.5 points. If the combined score meets or exceeds the threshold specified in a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during the first quarter count, and the markets are independent of each other, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The markets are not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook is undervaluing a particular result, the price in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the first quarter total. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, and the market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Jets-Bears matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the first quarter of the Jets-Bears game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine whether contracts pay out at 100 or 0. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Jets or the Bears would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable conditions for passing or running, could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also impact trader sentiment. Finally, as the game approaches, any late-breaking news or analysis could lead to further price adjustments in this market.