TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on different scoring thresholds being surpassed. The outcomes depend entirely on the final point totals for both teams after the game concludes.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified team scores more than the designated point threshold in the Pro Football game between the NY Giants and WAS Commanders scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If the team's points exceed the threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The markets cover a range of point thresholds for both teams, providing multiple opportunities to assess different levels of scoring performance. All markets are independent, and each has its own specific threshold that must be evaluated against the team's actual points scored in the game. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more accurate as more information becomes available and trading volume increases. It’s common to see convergence between prediction markets and sportsbooks as the event approaches, but discrepancies can still exist, offering potential arbitrage opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions. The current price of a contract represents the cost to take one side of the bet, and the implied probability is derived from that price.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the Giants-Commanders game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL following the completion of the game. The market will determine which side of the team total contracts will pay out based on the final, official score. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the official results are available and verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026. Key player injuries on either the Giants or Commanders would significantly impact expectations for their offensive performance. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if a severe storm is predicted, could also shift the market, as weather often affects scoring. Unexpected news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could also play a role. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could influence trading activity and move the market.